forecast

Enhancing two-week live fuel moisture content forecasts through biophysical modelling and remote sensing data assimilation

Live Fuel Moisture Content (LFMC) is a critical determinant of wildfire ignition and spread. Accurate forecasting of LFMC dynamics, particularly at a two-week timescale, is essential for early wildfire danger assessment. While satellite remote …

Modelling the daily probability of lightning-caused ignition in the Iberian Peninsula

Background: Lightning is the most common origin of natural fires, being strongly linked to specific synoptic conditions associated with atmospheric instability, such as dry thunderstorms; dry fuels are required for ignition to take place and for …